AC Este vs Pordenone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACE
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ACE
2 - 4
ROV
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
ACE
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACE
3 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CON
3 - 7
ACE
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROV
2 - 3
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACC
1 - 2
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |