Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
CES
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CES
1 - 0
CAG
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 2
CES
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
CES
0 - 1
FCC
63%
24%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 0
LEC
36%
31%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 1
SSS
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 1
USC
53%
29%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 1
BAR
52%
30%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |