Cesena vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASG
0 - 2
CES
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
RAV
2 - 4
CES
17%
21%
61%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FER
3 - 3
CES
16%
25%
60%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 0
IMO
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 4
PIA
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASG
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 1
IMO
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 0
PIA
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |