Cesena vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 1
CES
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CES
1 - 4
FIO
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
CES
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
UDI
4 - 2
CES
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CES
0 - 3
GEN
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ACM
2 - 0
NAP
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 0
SBR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 2
EMP
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |