Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 2
CES
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 1
CES
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 2
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |