Cesena vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
SAL
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LAT
2 - 2
BRE
36%
27%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TER
0 - 0
LAT
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 0
LAT
52%
28%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 1
MOD
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |