Serie A Round 28

Cesena vs Catanzaro analysis

Cesena Catanzaro
70 ELO 75
4.8% Tilt -18.1%
396º General ELO ranking 280º
31º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
49.8%
Cesena
26.7%
Draw
23.4%
Catanzaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
Cesena
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.5%
Win probability
Catanzaro
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cesena
+4%
-5%
Catanzaro

ELO progression

Cesena
Catanzaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 1982
ASC
Ascoli
1 - 0
Cesena
CES
60%
25%
15%
69 76 7 0
11 Apr. 1982
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
53%
25%
22%
69 73 4 0
04 Apr. 1982
CES
Cesena
2 - 0
Avellino
AVE
51%
27%
22%
68 76 8 +1
28 Mar. 1982
TOR
Torino
0 - 0
Cesena
CES
70%
21%
10%
67 80 13 +1
21 Mar. 1982
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cesena
CES
73%
19%
8%
68 83 15 -1

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 1982
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Torino
TOR
43%
31%
27%
76 81 5 0
11 Apr. 1982
ROM
Roma
2 - 2
Catanzaro
FCC
70%
19%
11%
76 83 7 0
10 Apr. 1982
FCC
Catanzaro
3 - 2
Inter
INT
26%
26%
48%
75 85 10 +1
04 Apr. 1982
FCC
Catanzaro
0 - 0
Udinese
UDI
55%
28%
17%
75 71 4 0
28 Mar. 1982
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
52%
27%
21%
75 75 0 0