Cesena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
CES
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
CES
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 1
CES
85%
10%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
MAN
5 - 0
COM
52%
29%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
COM
0 - 2
CAT
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ACM
5 - 2
COM
79%
14%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
VER
4 - 3
COM
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |