Cesena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
CES
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
CES
55%
27%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
ACM
13%
24%
64%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CES
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
NAP
0 - 0
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
INT
2 - 2
CAT
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
CAT
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAT
4 - 0
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |