Cesena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
31%
29%
41%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
ABN
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 0
MAN
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 1
BRE
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 2
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
TRI
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |