AC Castellana vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ACC
1 - 1
VOG
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RUD
2 - 2
ACC
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ACC
1 - 1
ALZ
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 1
ACC
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACC
2 - 2
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
3 - 1
OLG
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OLG
3 - 3
GOZ
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
OLG
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
OLG
2 - 0
COL
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
OLG
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |