AC Carina vs The Lakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
78.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
JIM
1 - 4
CAR
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ISC
2 - 1
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
LOG
0 - 2
TLA
8%
14%
78%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TLA
6 - 2
BAR
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TLA
0 - 10
ACA
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |