AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
BEL
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
3 - 0
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 1
FCG
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 0
BEL
39%
25%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 0
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NEX
3 - 1
YOB
28%
24%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
NEX
3 - 2
YOB
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |