AC Bellinzona vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
BEL
3 - 1
LAC
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
YVE
0 - 3
BEL
28%
26%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
DEL
1 - 0
BEL
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
BEL
4 - 4
WOH
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 2
LAC
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LUG
6 - 3
CON
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
5 - 2
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |