AC Bellinzona vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
BEL
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BIE
0 - 0
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
ETO
70%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOC
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIN
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 6
LOC
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
LOC
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |