AC Bellinzona vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
8º
26
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
5 - 2
FCA
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 2
STA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 3
SIO
10%
19%
72%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
BAD
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 1
WIL
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 1
FCV
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |