SS Arezzo vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ARZ
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PIS
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
ARZ
48%
29%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ARZ
2 - 1
PIS
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
PON
2 - 2
SIE
31%
24%
44%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PON
3 - 3
SIE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 0
PRO
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PIS
2 - 2
SIE
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
SIE
3 - 0
PIA
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +2 |