SS Arezzo vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 1
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 1
ARZ
31%
27%
41%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FIA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
NOC
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 2
FIA
29%
27%
45%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOC
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
GIU
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |