SS Arezzo vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
ARZ
13%
23%
65%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
4 - 0
SSD
81%
13%
5%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 3
ARZ
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 4
PON
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ORV
0 - 2
ARZ
13%
22%
65%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
DER
0 - 0
PIA
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 3
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 0
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
VOL
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |