SS Arezzo vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BAR
51%
22%
28%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARZ
51%
22%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
ARZ
0 - 2
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
ARZ
1 - 1
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
SAM
3 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
82%
13%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
PAL
4 - 1
CAT
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 1
COM
45%
31%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAT
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |