Arbedo-Castione vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
0.5%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.1%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.3%
94.1%
Win probability
4.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
12.6%
1-5
4.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
17.8%
0-5
10.1%
1-6
3%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
13.5%
0-6
6.8%
1-7
1.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
8.7%
0-7
3.9%
1-8
0.9%
2-9
0.1%
-7
4.9%
0-8
2%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0%
-8
2.4%
0-9
0.9%
1-10
0.2%
-9
1%
0-10
0.4%
-10
0.4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbedo-Castione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ACA
6 - 0
SAR
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WIT
1 - 2
ACA
18%
19%
64%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STG
2 - 1
GCZ
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 0
STG
17%
19%
64%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 3
STG
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |