UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
AC Allianssi vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Allianssi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
TPS
2 - 2
ALL
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
ALL
1 - 4
MYP
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
1 - 2
ALL
8%
15%
78%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ALL
5 - 2
KUO
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 3
ALL
20%
25%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
HIB
1 - 1
VAL
46%
23%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PIE
0 - 5
HIB
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
HIB
5 - 1
SLI
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 2
HIB
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BIR
2 - 1
HIB
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |