Aboomoslem vs Malavan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aboomoslem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PER
1 - 0
NAT
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
NAT
0 - 0
ZOB
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
SEP
1 - 1
NAT
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
NAT
0 - 0
SAI
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
NAT
0 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Malavan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 0
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 1
SEP
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAL
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 0
PAS
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
FAJ
3 - 2
MAL
60%
23%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |