Aberystwyth Town vs Welshpool Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ABE
5 - 1
PRE
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 1
RHY
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 3
ABE
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LLW
0 - 3
ABE
19%
21%
60%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Welshpool Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
WEL
0 - 2
RHY
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
WEL
2 - 1
NEA
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
WEL
2 - 2
PRE
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
HAV
3 - 1
WEL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
WEL
2 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |