Aberystwyth Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
TNS
2 - 1
ABE
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
ABE
1 - 0
RHA
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
RHY
3 - 0
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
LID
0 - 1
ABE
37%
26%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
LLA
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 3
POR
67%
19%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
RHA
0 - 3
NEW
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
NEW
2 - 2
RHY
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |