Aberystwyth Town vs Cwmbran Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
ABE
3 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
OSW
0 - 1
ABE
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
WEL
1 - 3
ABE
27%
25%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
CWM
3 - 1
HAV
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
TNS
1 - 0
CWM
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
CWM
1 - 1
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
CEF
1 - 0
CWM
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 1
CWM
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |