Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
PEN
45%
24%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 0
NEW
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
ABE
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CEF
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CEF
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 3
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 4
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |