Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
LLA
75%
15%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
ABE
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 3
CEF
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 2
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |