Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 3
BAN
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 3
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOL
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
78%
14%
7%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 3
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 0
LLA
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |