Aberystwyth Town vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
ABE
11%
18%
72%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
4 - 0
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
RHY
3 - 1
ABE
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
ABE
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 1
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
AIR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |