Aberaeron vs Ynyshir Albions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
77.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberaeron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABE
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 6
LLA
6%
11%
83%
|
5 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 4
CAL
9%
15%
76%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 1
BRE
29%
23%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ynyshir Albions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
7 - 3
YAF
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |