Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 2-4
ABC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
ABC
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
ABC
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 2
GLO
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 1
AUD
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 0
ABC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
ABC
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
PST
2 - 4
SAO
5%
12%
83%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 2
SAO
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |