ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 1
REM
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 4
ABC
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 0
ABC
21%
27%
51%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
ABC
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
BOT
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
GLO
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SDJ
2 - 0
NAU
20%
27%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAL
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 4
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAU
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |