ABC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
ABC
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
0 - 4
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
ABC
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
IFC
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 0
ABC
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
BRA
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |