Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-3
ABC vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
POT
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
ABC
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 2
ATL
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 2
ANA
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |