Brazilian Serie A Second stage Group C Round 7

ABC vs CSA analysis

ABC CSA
70 ELO 73
-1% Tilt -8.9%
1585º General ELO ranking 992º
56º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
51.3%
ABC
25.2%
Draw
23.5%
CSA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
ABC
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.5%
Win probability
CSA
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ABC
-4%
+13%
CSA

ELO progression

ABC
CSA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 1985
ABC
ABC
1 - 3
Sport Recife
SPO
46%
27%
28%
70 78 8 0
31 Mar. 1985
CEA
Ceará
3 - 1
ABC
ABC
64%
22%
15%
71 77 6 -1
27 Mar. 1985
ABC
ABC
2 - 4
Nacional AM
NAC
58%
24%
18%
72 69 3 -1
24 Mar. 1985
ABC
ABC
4 - 0
Mixto
MIX
57%
24%
20%
71 67 4 +1
21 Mar. 1985
REM
Remo
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
59%
23%
18%
71 74 3 0

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 1985
CSA
CSA
2 - 0
Ceará
CEA
47%
26%
27%
72 77 5 0
31 Mar. 1985
SER
Sergipe
2 - 2
CSA
CSA
44%
29%
27%
72 59 13 0
27 Mar. 1985
CSA
CSA
2 - 0
Sampaio Correa
SAM
65%
21%
14%
72 59 13 0
24 Mar. 1985
CSA
CSA
1 - 0
Flamengo PI
FLA
70%
20%
11%
71 56 15 +1
20 Mar. 1985
NAC
Nacional AM
1 - 0
CSA
CSA
49%
26%
25%
72 68 4 -1