ABC vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
ABC
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 1
ABC
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 2
CRI
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
ABC
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
OES
0 - 0
CRB
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 3
CEA
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
CRB
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 1
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |