Série C Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
ABC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
ABC
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 2
ASA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 2
ABC
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 2
ABC
24%
28%
49%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 0
REM
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
ABC
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOT
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
TOM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOT
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |