Liga do Nordeste Normal Season Round 14

ABC vs Botafogo PB analysis

ABC Botafogo PB
65 ELO 54
5.4% Tilt 5.3%
1633º General ELO ranking 1010º
56º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
65.4%
ABC
19.8%
Draw
14.8%
Botafogo PB

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
ABC
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.8%
Win probability
Botafogo PB
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ABC
-3%
-16%
Botafogo PB

ELO progression

ABC
Botafogo PB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2010
ABC
ABC
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
68%
19%
12%
65 56 9 0
29 Aug. 2010
ALE
Alecrim
1 - 1
ABC
ABC
17%
24%
59%
65 49 16 0
22 Aug. 2010
ABC
ABC
3 - 1
Salgueiro
SAL
76%
16%
8%
65 51 14 0
20 Aug. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 1
ABC
ABC
28%
24%
48%
64 53 11 +1
15 Aug. 2010
CAM
Campinense
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
30%
26%
44%
65 56 9 -1

Matches

Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2010
BOT
Botafogo PB
2 - 2
Bahía
BAH
24%
25%
52%
54 69 15 0
26 Aug. 2010
BOT
Botafogo PB
0 - 0
CSA
CSA
52%
24%
24%
54 53 1 0
20 Aug. 2010
CRB
CRB
0 - 2
Botafogo PB
BOT
52%
23%
25%
53 55 2 +1
06 Aug. 2010
TRE
Treze
1 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
51%
24%
25%
53 56 3 0
30 Jul. 2010
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 1
Náutico
NAU
16%
20%
64%
53 73 20 0