ABC vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
ABC
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
CRA
4 - 0
ABC
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 1
ABC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 3
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
ABC
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 3
CRA
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
BAH
2 - 2
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |