ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POT
2 - 3
ABC
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
ABC
7%
17%
76%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 1
ABC
7%
17%
76%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
6 - 0
FEL
85%
12%
3%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 1
IGU
80%
15%
5%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
ABC
7%
17%
76%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
POT
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
POT
1 - 2
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
FEL
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALE
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |