ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
ABC
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 1
PAL
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 0
ABC
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 2
BOT
20%
27%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
ALE
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 4
ARN
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |