Abbotsford Mariners vs Vancouver Thunderbirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abbotsford Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ABB
1 - 1
KAM
19%
21%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
KAM
2 - 1
ABB
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ABB
1 - 1
TIG
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
ABB
1 - 2
KHA
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
TIM
1 - 2
ABB
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vancouver Thunderbirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
VAN
2 - 2
KHA
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 2
VAN
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
KHA
1 - 2
VAN
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 2
MID
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
VAN
6 - 0
TIG
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |