Rafalafena vs Morella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 3
RPL
25%
22%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 0
RAF
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 1
SAP
54%
20%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
RAF
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 0
BET
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDB
80%
15%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATZ
3 - 1
MOR
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
ORP
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 2
MOR
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |