Aarup vs Skjold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 2
AAR
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
LIF
1 - 2
AAR
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AAR
1 - 2
OTB
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
AAR
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 4
VIB
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Skjold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SKJ
0 - 1
OTB
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
SKJ
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SKJ
1 - 2
VIB
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
SKJ
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SKJ
4 - 1
LFA
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |