Denmark Third Division Round 10

Aarhus Fremad vs Næsby BK analysis

Aarhus Fremad Næsby BK
57 ELO 45
5.4% Tilt 12.8%
1486º General ELO ranking 3510º
22º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
69.5%
Aarhus Fremad
19.2%
Draw
11.3%
Næsby BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.3%
Win probability
Næsby BK
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad
+1%
+7%
Næsby BK

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad
Næsby BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2010
HOL
Holstebro
0 - 3
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
26%
24%
50%
57 45 12 0
25 Sep. 2010
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
2 - 0
Lindholm
LIF
78%
15%
7%
57 39 18 0
18 Sep. 2010
B19
B 1908
2 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
26%
24%
49%
58 47 11 -1
11 Sep. 2010
OTB
Otterup
1 - 2
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
18%
21%
62%
57 35 22 +1
04 Sep. 2010
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
7 - 1
Middelfart
MID
65%
20%
15%
57 47 10 0

Matches

Næsby BK
Næsby BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2010
NAS
Næsby BK
0 - 2
Middelfart
MID
44%
23%
33%
46 48 2 0
25 Sep. 2010
RIS
Rishøj
2 - 2
Næsby BK
NAS
61%
21%
18%
45 49 4 +1
18 Sep. 2010
NAS
Næsby BK
1 - 2
Thisted
THI
30%
25%
45%
46 55 9 -1
11 Sep. 2010
TJO
Tjørring
2 - 2
Næsby BK
NAS
30%
25%
46%
46 35 11 0
04 Sep. 2010
NAS
Næsby BK
2 - 2
Jammerbugt
JAM
30%
26%
44%
46 56 10 0