Aarhus Fremad vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
78.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VIB
0 - 2
AAF
23%
22%
54%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IFL
0 - 2
AAF
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AAF
1 - 0
HOB
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 3
AAF
31%
23%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AAF
0 - 1
VOR
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SON
1 - 1
MID
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MID
2 - 1
SIF
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
HOB
1 - 5
MID
24%
24%
53%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
VES
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FCN
2 - 1
MID
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |