Aarhus Fremad II vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 2
AAR
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AAR
3 - 1
B19
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
OFA
6 - 3
AAR
52%
21%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AAR
0 - 2
OKS
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 1
AAR
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 8
ACH
6%
14%
80%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 0
VAR
58%
21%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
3 - 2
VAR
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 0
B19
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |