Aarhus Fremad II vs ASA Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
6º
5º
17
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AAR
1 - 3
ODD
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DJU
0 - 7
AAR
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VIB
3 - 2
AAR
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AAR
1 - 1
NOR
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AAB
0 - 0
AAR
42%
22%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 1
AAB
24%
21%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ODD
5 - 1
ASA
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VRI
4 - 1
ASA
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
DJU
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 3
VEJ
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |