Aarau II vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
AAR
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
IBA
2 - 2
AAR
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
AAR
2 - 3
BUO
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 1
AAR
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LUZ
1 - 2
IBA
56%
21%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BUO
3 - 1
LUZ
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LUZ
1 - 1
FCB
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SAR
3 - 0
LUZ
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -3 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LAU
6 - 2
LUZ
70%
18%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |